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Unresolved Aviation EU ETS problems could lead to an environmental policy fiasco, warns Lufthansa
Unresolved Aviation EU ETS problems could lead to an environmental policy fiasco, warns Lufthansa | Lufthansa

(photo: Lufthansa)

Thu 14 Apr 2011 – Implementation of the directive to include aviation in the EU Emissions Trading Scheme is increasingly running into problems, says Lufthansa in its latest ‘Policy Brief’. The German airline group states the directive is being interpreted inconsistently, there is a distortion in the allocation of free emissions allowances and it is unclear how reluctant third states and airlines can be brought on board. With missed deadlines and numerous legal and technical issues still unresolved just eight months before “kick-off”, the briefing believes the aviation industry is still in the dark on major parameters. Lufthansa’s fleet emits the highest annual tonnage of CO2 covered by the EU ETS of any airline, according to data from RDC Aviation, and has also been the scheme’s most vociferous critic.

 

The complexity of including the international transport sector in emissions trading has led to many EU governments failing to transpose the directive into national law by the February 2010 deadline, claims Lufthansa, and member states were interpreting the directive inconsistently. “In a best-case scenario, this will lead to serious legal uncertainties and more red tape; in a worst case, Europe’s aviation industry can expect the environmental policy measure to become a fiasco,” says the brief, which points the finger at overambitious plans and timelines.

 

Lufthansa says a lack of clarity on whether the Aviation EU ETS is consistent with international law will remain  after the 1 January 2012 start date until the European Court of Justice rules on the case brought by the Air Transport Association of America and a number of US airlines. Lufthansa claims “numerous” non-EU states have announced they will withdraw from the scheme, with the EU’s threat to revoke traffic rights of non-compliant airlines being “highly dubious”.

 

The policy brief repeats previous assertions that there will be significant distortions in the allocation of free emissions permits as it is based on 2010 tonne-kilometre data, which was impacted by airspace closures over northern Europe as a result of the Icelandic volcano ash cloud last year. “The European Commission must urgently abandon this benchmark and present a fair solution once and for all,” it says. The Commission has previously rebutted any such move saying the impact on the allocation share would be minimal and fresh legislation would be required to alter the process.

 

Lufthansa also claims there is also a competitive distortion that favours Gulf State carriers, which need to submit emissions allowances for only part of their routes to Asia. Europe, it says, could also be side-stepped in global traffic flows, with airlines and passengers avoiding EU hubs due to the scheme.

 

The airline estimates its own cost of complying with the EU ETS will amount to €350 million in 2012, the first trading year, and by 2020 the overall cost to the aviation industry will reach €7 billion.

 

 

Link:

Lufthansa Policy Brief

 

 

Update Wed 20 Apr 2011 – European Commission officials have expressed concern over the accuracy of claims set out in the Lufthansa brief. On 6 April, the Commission wrote to four EU States urging Cyprus, Estonia, Poland and Germany to enact national legislative and administrative measures to complete the transposition of the EU Directive on including aviation in the EU ETS. The first three States have already received “final warnings” from the Commission last November but this is the first for Germany. According to Guido Harling of German consultancy ETS Verification, although the Directive has yet to be transposed in Germany the legal framework – known as the DEV 2020 (Data Collection Ordinance) for aviation – is already in place that requires the submission of verified emissions and tonne-km data. He says the existing legislation, called the TEHG, covering all aspects of emissions trading, including the stationary sector, is currently undergoing changes and a new version is due to be enacted this summer.

 



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Member Opinions:
By: jeffg on 4/17/11

Lufthansa's policy brief is a must read in all its' splenetic glory and is just a virulently anti-ETS rant.

Pleading for a larger free allowance because of the April 15th - 21st 2010 volcanic ash incident must be the first time in recent aviation history that an airline has asked, Oliver Twist style, for more CO2. In the area directly affected by ash Eurocontrol tell us there was a 67% reduction in flights over this 7 day period and a further 20% reduction outside. For an individual airline the impact on CO2 is unlikely to have been hugely significant - get over it Lufthansa, please. What next - add backs for snow cancellations?

We understand that applications for free allocations under the current benchmark are running at 95%+ in most major countries; the few states running late in some aspects are now running hard to keep up; if Lufthansa wants to be seen as an efficient, properly-run business with the interests of both its shareholders and the environment to the fore, it could usefully ensure that Germany's ETS mechanics are up-to-speed. This is the most practical way for Lufthansa to avoid the supposed ETS implementation related difficulties it harps on about.

And Lufthansa's actual CO2 emissions rose 10.1 per cent to 26.6 million tonnes in 2010 from the year before anyway, a less than sparkling performance.

Other nation's airlines may moan and threaten non-compliance but they will all end up either complying or being fined or clamped in extremis. The authorities in France, the Netherlands and Germany are responsible, for example, for most Chinese flights into Europe and we would encourage them to take a robust line with Chinese airlines - I would happily volunteer to fix a clamp to the nosewheel of the first Chinese 747 without the appropriate paperwork or seeking to dodge fines!

We know Lufthansa has an extremely knowledgeable and efficient in-house team working away at monitoring and verification - they are even selling their systems to other airlines; they know all about carbon pricing/markets and offset purchasing too; and they are analysing future ETS business impacts and yield management forecasting down to the last €cent.

Their briefing tells us that in 2012 they will face ETS costs of "up to €350 million" (this includes monitoring and verification start up costs)or to put it another way a tiny, tiny €3.9 per passenger (2010 Lufthansa group passenger numbers 90.2 million).

And the number of potential Lufthansa passengers who will fly miles further and for much longer on Emirates via Dubai to pocket €4 will in fact be somewhere in the range zero to none.

The 2 EU Member states whose ETS activities we follow most closely, the UK and France, have small but dedicated and highly professional teams of Government and Agency officials working very hard and effectively to deliver an admittedly complex scheme to tight unmissable deadlines, as does the European Commission too.

We are in no doubt that all the other Member States will sort themselves out in time to deliver a workable Aviation ETS.

But as Lufthansa's 2010 figures prove, controlling and reducing a major airlines' CO2 emissions needs a range of measures including adding the price of carbon to tickets. Quite simply,if you can afford the price of a ticket, you can afford the cost of carbon.

If Lufthansa truly want a fair and equitable global market-based option that works they should be actively campaigning for the EU Aviation ETS to become the worldwide model. Somewhat strangely perhaps, they aren't.

Jeff Gazzard
Board Member
Aviation Environment Federation
London


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